Tamil Nadu Chief Minister and joint convener of the ruling AIADMK Edappadi K Palanisami said on Monday that his party has already finalised its alliance for the coming Lok Sabha elections. But he did not say with which party.
Addressing a meeting of top leaders at party headquarters in Chennai on Monday, Palanisami said the party should strive for the victory of not only the AIADMK but also its alliance partners and repeat the performance of 2014 .
In 2014, the then leader Jayalalitha went alone with the slogan “Ladyy or Modi” and won 37 out of 39 from Tamil Nadu
Now the party has no leader to match her charisma. Moreover, it is not going it alone. Palanisami' s statement came a day after Deputy Chief Minister AIADMK convenor O Pannerselvam declared that his party will lead the alliance in Tamil Nadu. Normally, it should mean the AIADMK should contest the majority share of the seats and leave the rest to allies.
When MGR was at the helm, there was a formula called one-third-two-third formula whereby the national party will contest two- thirds of the seats in Lok Sabha polls and the regional ally will contest the same ratio of seats in Assembly..
The situation changed in the 1990s after the dawn of the coalition era at the Centre with the BJP emerging as an alternative to the Congress.
Both the AIADMK and the DMK were part of the NDA under Vajpayee;s "leadership, Jayalalitha pulled down his government in 1999 and DMK filled in the breach.
She went alone in 2004 and 2009.. The DMK-Congress alliance swept in 2004. In 2009, the AIADMK won some seats..
Though Jayalalitha was personally close to Modi even when he was Chief Minister of Gujarat, she went alone in 2014 in the hope that it would throw up a hung Parliament and she could be king-maker.
She did win 37 seats thanks to transfer of votes of silent BJP supporters. With Modi getting a majority on his own, she fought him on State specific issues to protect her own turf.
The AIADMK without Jaya and BJP burdened by anti-incumbancy against Modi cannot make a dent in Tamil Nadu even if they go together in 2019. And most other parties are in the DMK front.