Udaipur, Dec 4 : The chances of retaining Udaipur city Assembly segment by Home Minister Gulab Chand Kataria seem to be less as the anti-incumbency and caste equation factors have entirely changed the political dynamism in the city of lakes.
In the last assembly election in 2013, Mr Kataria, a Jain, emerged victorious with around 25,000 votes.
After Congress fielded former National Commission for Women (NCW) chairperson and ex Union Minister Girija Vyas, the political as well as caste equations have changed, said a city-based political analyst.
Ms Vyas is a Brahmin and the constituency has a sizeable presence of her caste. It stands at 40,000.
Out of 11, there are three Jains who are contesting from this seat. One of them is BJP’s rebel with clean image.
He will surely dent the BJP’s votebank, said the analyst. Jain voters stand at 45,000.
Brahmins and Rajputs were the saffron outfit’s traditional voters but due to feud between Chief Minister Vasundhara Raje and Ghanshyam Tiwari, a Brahmin —- the community has distanced itself from the BJP. In an effort to take revenge, they will side with the Congress in the ensuing assembly elections.
While the Rajputs have numerous reasons to be disenchanted with the BJP, including Padmawat row, encounter of Anandpal and Chatur Singh, opposition of Rajput leader Gajendra Singh Shekhawat’s appointment as the party chief in the state. In the city, Rajput voters stand at 10,000.
The Assembly seat has 32,000 Muslims and it is being believed that most of them would go with the grand old party.
Out of 35,000 Scheduled Caste and Scheduled Tribe voters, 60-70 per cent will side with the Congress, a sociologist in the city of lakes said.
Talking to UNI, Mr Kataria said, ''I’m winning with huge margin this time. For BJP, national interest is everything. The people have benefited with the central as well as state governments’ schemes.''
When asked about Ms Vyas, who had defeated him twice in 1985 and 1991, he said, ''She won due to sympathy wave. Former Prime Minister Indira Gandhi was assassinated in 1984 and there was assembly election in 1985. In 1991, during election campaign, Rajiv Gandhi was killed. Out of sympathy wave, she won and that too with meagre votes.''
The constituency, having a total 2.40 lakh electorate, will go to polls on December 7.
While talking to UNI, Ms Vyas said, ''I have defeated him twice and will defeat him again. He was Minister in the Raje government but did not do anything for Udaipur. Tourism sector is going down day by day.”
Since a day is left for campaigning, both the parties are working hard to woo the voters. The results will be declared on December 11. (UNI)