Rice output in this Kharif season is likely to fall by 1.9 million tonnes (mt) to 94.48 mt due to poor rain as well as floods.
Official sources said production of pulses and coarse cereals is also estimated to have fallen, dragging the overall grains output in the summer-sown season to 134.67 mt from record 138.52 mt last kharif season. The kharif basket comprises rice, pulses and coarse cereals. Harvesting will start from next month and barring sugarcane, the production of all major crops is likely to decline.
The Union Agriculture Ministry is expected to release its first advance estimate soon. Rice output is estimated to fall at 94.48 mt from the record 96.39 mt during last kharif, an official said. Pulses output could drop to 8.71 mt from record 9.42 mt due to depressed prices and poor rains. Tur and urad production is pegged at 3.99 mt and 2.53 mt, respectively. Coarse cereals output is also seen lower at 31.49 mt against 32.71 mt.
Among cash crops, cotton output is estimated to be slightly lower at 32.27 million bales (of 170 kg each) in the 2017-18 crop year (July-June) from 33.09 million. However, sugarcane output might rise to 337.69 mt from 306.72 mt. Oilseeds output is estimated to be down at 20.68 mt in the kharif season from 22.40 mt the precious year. Soyabean output has been pegged at 12.22 mt. The fall in kharif output is attributed to dry spell as well as floods.
The overall southwest monsoon, crucial for kharif crops, was projected to be normal, but till first week of this month it was less by five per cent. Assam, Bihar, Gujarat and Rajasthan witnessed floods, while parts of Karnataka, Chhattisgarh and Tamil Nadu faced dry spell. These estimates might be revised later taking feedback from states.